Will Citadel Gaming win NACL 2026 Spring?
Probability
35¢
1h
+34.3pp
24h
+34.2pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$26.27
Probability (last 7 days)
+34.2pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 34pp over 24h
Now 35¢; +34.3pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 965h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 68.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 965.4h
- 18:33SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 965h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+30.3pp over the last 24h, now 31¢.
Biggest hourly move: -41.3pp at 07:00 (to 0¢).
Show all 15 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:33 · +30.4pp → 31¢
- 17:00 · -15.8pp → 0¢
- 15:00 · -3.5pp → 0¢
- 14:00 · -9.3pp → 0¢
- 12:00 · -24.5pp → 0¢
- 09:00 · -6.3pp → 0¢
- 07:00 · -41.3pp → 0¢
- 00:00 · +15.3pp → 16¢
- 1d ago · +18.0pp → 18¢
- 1d ago · +12.3pp → 13¢
- 1d ago · +31.7pp → 32¢
- 2d ago · -10.7pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -21.9pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · +11.3pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · +33.9pp → 34¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the North American Challengers League (NACL) 2026 Spring season. If the 2026 Spring season is postponed after June 12, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · mediumlolesports.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (68.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
9 wallets- 0xa5ef…2966283