Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?
Probability
45¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-3.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$4.2K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (87.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 45¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 87.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (87.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 703.7h
- 16:19SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
-3.5pp over the last 24h, now 45¢.
Biggest hourly move: -17.0pp at 3d ago (to 33¢).
Show top 8 of 33 hourly moves
- 12:00 · +15.5pp → 48¢
- 11:00 · +15.5pp → 48¢
- 08:00 · +16.0pp → 48¢
- 06:00 · +15.5pp → 48¢
- 04:00 · +15.5pp → 48¢
- 3d ago · -17.0pp → 33¢
- 4d ago · -16.0pp → 34¢
- 4d ago · -16.0pp → 34¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the NBA Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the 2026 NBA Finals (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Finals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
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