Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?
Probability
26¢
1h
+3.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$721.77
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 26¢; +3.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6076h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 16.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6076.3h
- 19:41SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6076h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 27¢.
Biggest hourly move: -11.5pp at 1d ago (to 16¢).
Show all 26 hour-by-hour ticks
- 19:41 · +9.0pp → 27¢
- 17:00 · -5.5pp → 20¢
- 16:00 · -4.5pp → 22¢
- 12:00 · +8.5pp → 31¢
- 08:00 · +7.5pp → 33¢
- 06:00 · +5.5pp → 32¢
- 05:00 · +7.5pp → 33¢
- 02:00 · +3.5pp → 33¢
- 00:00 · +5.5pp → 32¢
- 22:00 · -6.5pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · +9.0pp → 32¢
- 1d ago · -7.0pp → 21¢
- 1d ago · -11.5pp → 16¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 28¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · -10.5pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 28¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 32¢
- 2d ago · +6.0pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +6.5pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 32¢
- 2d ago · -6.0pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 18¢
- 3d ago · -5.5pp → 26¢
- 3d ago · -10.5pp → 22¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the NFC East division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 4, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.