Active-Hypothermia
0xc3cd1d612bbf9fbf80da5a9bff0b0470cb46816c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$16.1K
Total PnL
$8.9K
Realised
$19.7K
Win rate
51%
122 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$802.50
$-7.50
- NO
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$489.25
$0.25
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
500 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$412.50
$2.50
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
442 shares @ 92.8¢·now 92.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$408.36
$-2.10
- NO
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
402 shares @ 95.5¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$385.22
$1.01
- NO
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
378 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$376.09
$0.57
- NO
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$352.50
$-2.50
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
495 shares @ 87.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$343.98
$-86.67
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7361 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$342.28
$37.29
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 7.3¢·now 6.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$337.50
$-27.50
Recent activity
- MERGEWill the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?$108.24Jun 15, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$118.75Jun 15, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$270.30Jun 15, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.10Jun 15, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$117.11Jun 15, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.51Jun 15, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.34Jun 15, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.09Jun 15, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.67Jun 15, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donyell Malen be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$178.74Jun 15, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$198.20Jun 15, 09:21 UTC
- MERGEWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.58Jun 15, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$261.30Jun 15, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.00Jun 15, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.37Jun 15, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.18Jun 15, 09:13 UTC
- MERGEWill the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?$103.11Jun 15, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.93Jun 15, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$54.60Jun 15, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.40Jun 15, 09:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $72.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 08:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 09:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 122 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.