Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?
Probability
16¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$20.96
Liquidity
$1.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 16¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 104h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 12.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 104.2h
- 15:48SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 104h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 16¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 16¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 16¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 16¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 16¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 17¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 17¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 17¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 17¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 20¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 20¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 20¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Portnoy gives any pizza a rating of 9.0 or higher during any One Bite Pizza Review published between the date of market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes are aired, those clips will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be David Portnoy's official One Bite Pizza Reviews YouTube channel. (see: https://www.youtube.com/@OneBitePizzaReviews)
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).