EntertainmentMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Doja Cat be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

Probability

10¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$3.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.3pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:45
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5982h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 18.3¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5982.2h

    LOW
  • 17:46Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5982h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 10¢.

Biggest hourly move: +8.9pp at 1d ago (to 10¢).

Show all 15 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · +3.1pp → 10¢
  • 16:00 · +3.1pp → 10¢
  • 12:00 · +3.6pp → 10¢
  • 06:00 · +5.8pp → 10¢
  • 05:00 · +4.9pp → 10¢
  • 03:00 · +3.0pp → 10¢
  • 23:00 · +3.0pp → 10¢
  • 1d ago · +8.9pp → 10¢
  • 1d ago · +7.5pp → 10¢
  • 1d ago · +5.1pp → 10¢
  • 1d ago · +3.7pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · -6.4pp → 1¢
  • 2d ago · -6.5pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -3.9pp → 5¢
  • 2d ago · -4.1pp → 6¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

8
Same eventBillboard #1 Artist 2026

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart. If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Year-End 2026 Top Artists Chart, once it becomes available.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chartAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (18.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

11 wallets
Open on Polymarket