Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.4pp
24h Vol
$5.01
Liquidity
$10.0K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 17, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryOfficial NBA dataTypeOfficial sports resultConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Probability (last 7 days)
-38.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $10.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 17, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryOfficial NBA dataTypeOfficial sports resultConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1007.2h
Price movement
+0.4pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.
Biggest hourly move: -38.1pp at 4d ago (to 2¢).
Show top 8 of 35 hourly moves
- 3d ago · -21.3pp → 2¢
- 3d ago · -27.6pp → 2¢
- 3d ago · -20.5pp → 2¢
- 4d ago · -22.2pp → 3¢
- 4d ago · -34.9pp → 2¢
- 4d ago · -35.5pp → 2¢
- 4d ago · -38.1pp → 2¢
- 5d ago · -36.8pp → 2¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NBA Finals Most Valuable Player award for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
