Will Drake feature Lil Baby on ICEMAN?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+7.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$863.05
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 8pp over 24h
Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5984.9h
- 15:04SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.5pp
to 50¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.5pp
to 50¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.5pp
to 50¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.5pp
to 50¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.5pp
to 50¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.0pp
to 50¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.5pp
to 50¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.5pp
to 50¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.5pp
to 50¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.5pp
to 50¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 50¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 50¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.5pp
to 49¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the listed artists who feature on Drake's album "ICEMAN". To qualify as "featured", the listed artist must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music. If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).