Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?
Probability
18¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-22.5pp
24h Vol
$45.07
Liquidity
$883.81
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 23pp over 24h
Now 18¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $884 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5987.1h
- 12:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 19¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 19¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.5pp
to 19¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.0pp
to 19¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 19¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 19¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.5pp
to 12¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.5pp
to 12¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 13¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 20¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 43¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.0pp
to 13¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.0pp
to 16¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the listed artists who feature on Drake's album "ICEMAN". To qualify as "featured", the listed artist must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music. If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).