Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?
Probability
61¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+26.0pp
24h Vol
$108.81
Liquidity
$2.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5999.0h
- 01:00SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5999h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 61¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 61¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 61¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 61¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 58¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 56¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 34¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 39¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 40¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 39¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 36¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 38¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 45¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 36¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 45¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the listed artists who feature on Drake's album "ICEMAN". To qualify as "featured", the listed artist must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music. If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).