Will Drake feature Nicki Minaj on ICEMAN?
Probability
45¢
1h
-5.5pp
24h
-8.5pp
24h Vol
$25.00
Liquidity
$77.96
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5989.2h
- 10:50SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5989h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 51¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 51¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 38¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 39¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 62¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 57¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 60¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 61¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 61¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 60¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 60¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 60¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 60¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 60¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 54¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 37¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the listed artists who feature on Drake's album "ICEMAN". To qualify as "featured", the listed artist must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music. If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (36.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).