Will Drake feature PARTYNEXTDOOR on ICEMAN?
Probability
63¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$9.08
Liquidity
$1.2K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $1.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
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Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5815.5h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 63¢.
Biggest hourly move: -31.5pp at 4d ago (to 36¢).
Show top 8 of 43 hourly moves
- 2d ago · +20.5pp → 63¢
- 2d ago · +26.5pp → 63¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 63¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 63¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 63¢
- 4d ago · -25.5pp → 42¢
- 4d ago · -29.5pp → 38¢
- 4d ago · -31.5pp → 36¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the listed artists who feature on Drake's album "ICEMAN". To qualify as "featured", the listed artist must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music. If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Alerts
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