EntertainmentMulti-outcomeExpires May 30, 2026

Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?

Probability

16¢

1h

-5.9pp

24h

-10.4pp

24h Vol

$62.49

Liquidity

$424.76

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 23:00Apr 25, 2026, 22:27
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Down 10pp over 24h

    Now 16¢; -5.9pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 818h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Wide spread — 30.6¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 817.5h

    LOW
  • 22:27Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 818h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-9.3pp over the last 24h, now 16¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the number of spots songs by or featuring Drake hold in the top 10 spots of the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week titled "Week of May 30, 2026". A qualifying song must credit Drake as an artist. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
to the number of spots songs by or featuring Drake hold in the top 10 spots of the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week
Type
Ambiguous wording
Confidence
extracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (30.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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