Will Ed Sheeran be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
Probability
9¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5978h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 14.3¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5978.1h
- 21:52SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5978h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.2pp over the last 24h, now 9¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart. If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Year-End 2026 Top Artists Chart, once it becomes available.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chartTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (14.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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