Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $45M and $50M at market close on IPO day?
Probability
16¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$1.13
Liquidity
$1.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 16¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 14:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 16¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 16¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 18¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 18¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 18¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 18¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 22¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 26¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 19¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 19¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 17¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 16¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 16¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 16¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 16¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 18¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 18¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 18¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 19¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
5- 40¢0.0pp
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $24.49
- 3¢-1.0pp
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $50M and $55M at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $64.00
- 2¢-0.9pp
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $1.03
- 34¢-0.5pp
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?
Business · Vol $0.00
Market Description
This market will resolve based on Encore Medical’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 22 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 22, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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