Valuable-Bus
0xa67d4743aeb60ba703fcf2459dcf7495a319c6f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-12.2K
Realised
$10.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
6500 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$487.50
$-422.50
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$412.50
$-27.50
- YES
Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?
316 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$307.95
$5.32
- YES
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
268 shares @ 77.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$143.58
$-63.07
- YES
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
405 shares @ 13.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$17.39
$-36.95
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2000 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$15.00
$-39.00
- YES
Will Bill Gates Jr. win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
311 shares @ 5.7¢·now 3.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$9.48
$-8.32
- YES
Will Steve Simon win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
291 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$8.88
$-26.06
- YES
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
384 shares @ 56.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$4.42
$-212.66
- YES
Will Michael Soetaert be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
259 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.65
$-46.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$218.40Jun 10, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?$297.50Jun 3, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cory Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Jersey?$8.10Jun 3, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$9.26May 27, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Everett Jackson be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?$70.03May 27, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?$2.01May 27, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$85.00May 25, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?$32.30May 22, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$0.85May 21, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?$0.32May 21, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 80k and 100k?$0.05May 21, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 80k and 100k?$0.04May 21, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 80k and 100k?$0.13May 21, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 80k and 100k?$0.02May 21, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 80k and 100k?$0.03May 21, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$0.11May 20, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$0.74May 20, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 80k?$0.09May 20, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 160k?$0.09May 20, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$0.08May 20, 18:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 02:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.