Homely-Field
0x51f28ce013c317c1ce3de78aaa6107ed962538ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$573.70
Total PnL
$178.22
Realised
$2.1K
Win rate
79%
117 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
118 shares @ 53.4¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$73.22
$10.13
- YES
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?
188 shares @ 55.6¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$70.66
$-34.17
- YES
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?
96 shares @ 95.2¢·now 51.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$49.52
$-41.71
- NO
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?
100 shares @ 48.2¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.00
$-3.17
- NO
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
41 shares @ 94.9¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.08
$-0.37
- YES
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
39 shares @ 69.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$31.57
$4.68
- NO
Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?
40 shares @ 47.5¢·now 71.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$28.40
$9.40
- NO
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $10B by December 31?
40 shares @ 73.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.20
$-1.00
- YES
Will Valantis launch a token by June 30, 2027?
40 shares @ 83.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$24.20
$-9.00
- NO
Will Hyperbeat launch a token by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 73.3¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.35
$0.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?$5.00Jul 27, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?$0.25Jul 27, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?$40.02Jul 27, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$27.60Jul 25, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?$17.80Jul 25, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$6.52Jul 22, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.16Jul 22, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$1.80Jul 21, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?$1.77Jul 20, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$38.40Jul 19, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?$15.47Jul 17, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$16.80Jul 16, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBenedict Wong as Wong?$2.45Jul 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kash Patel be arrested before 2027?$0.13Jul 16, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBenedict Wong as Wong?$0.06Jul 15, 07:29 UTC
- REWARD$2.11Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBenedict Wong as Wong?$1.92Jul 14, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?$16.21Jul 13, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$11.34Jul 10, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLHugh Jackman as Wolverine?$7.50Jul 10, 08:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 117 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
117 closed markets, 79% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $9.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 10:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 22:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 117 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.