Entire-Subgroup
0xb7d497a0541229533602899a04f76d22ca235735
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$413.87
Total PnL
$-332.23
Realised
$24.32
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
320 shares @ 15.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$214.08
$166.15
- NO
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
282 shares @ 17.9¢·now 55.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$155.95
$105.47
- YES
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
102 shares @ 69.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.17
$-36.21
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 26.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.29
$-4.29
- YES
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
769 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.23
$-203.40
- YES
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.69
$-0.43
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 25.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.47
$0.22
- YES
Will Indiana and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?
433 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-116.91
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
217 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.70
- YES
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?
163 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.33Jun 2, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Klint Kubiak be the next Giants Head Coach?$1.00Jun 2, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Jun 2, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be less than 75k?$15.67Jun 2, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$23.00Jun 2, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$31.00Jun 2, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMSentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?$34.00Jun 2, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$58.00Jun 2, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMthreadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?$73.00Jun 2, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMTrove FDV above $60M one day after launch?$216.00Jun 2, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?$483.00Jun 2, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$702.00Jun 2, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$8.79Apr 21, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$0.56Apr 21, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$12.80Apr 21, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLReya FDV above $300M one day after launch?$40.08Apr 21, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$13.97Apr 21, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$19.03Apr 21, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?$4.60Feb 8, 20:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $41.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 03:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.