Healthy-Reminder
0x8d7b38aa9fddb044009875a07859b2adb17f5595
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$16.52
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
13 shares @ 39.3¢·now 86.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.97
$5.97
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?
9376 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2946 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?
134 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?
56 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-25.57
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.13Jul 6, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.44Jun 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$20.41May 21, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?$97.07May 4, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?$24.68May 4, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?$9.12Apr 27, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$9.12Apr 27, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?$10.75Apr 27, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 26, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?$1000.00Apr 25, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$9.83Apr 23, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.00Apr 22, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?$10.00Apr 21, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?$10.00Apr 21, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?$10.00Apr 20, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?$50.00Apr 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$10.00Apr 20, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?$63.09Apr 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?$20.00Apr 18, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?$10.00Apr 18, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $44.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.