Vigilant-Railing
0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$534.6K
Total PnL
$-150.0K
Realised
$8.5K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
401666 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$399.5K
$328.96
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
80860 shares @ 75.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.7K
$5.6K
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
64629 shares @ 30.9¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$26.8K
$6.9K
- NO
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
12394 shares @ 79.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.2K
$1.4K
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6338 shares @ 80.2¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.0K
$872.38
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5979 shares @ 80.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.4K
$567.98
- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
6150 shares @ 74.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.2K
$615.73
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
4095 shares @ 89.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.1K
$388.09
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
2472 shares @ 67.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$505.53
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1871 shares @ 87.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$63.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$22.1KJun 12, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$746.76Jun 12, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.4KJun 12, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$226.1KJun 12, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$148.6KJun 12, 11:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$500.6KJun 4, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$20.26Jun 3, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$620.07Jun 3, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$229.3KJun 3, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$269.2KJun 3, 23:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$291.2K
Trades
2
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 3, 23:10 UTC → Jun 12, 11:23 UTC
- BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$22.1K@100¢Jun 12, 11:23 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$269.1K@100¢Jun 3, 23:04 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$22.1K
1 trades
30d volume
$291.2K
2 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$269.1K · 92% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $82.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.