Will Fuego win LRN 2026 Split 1?
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+29.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 51¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $1.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1561.4h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Biggest hourly move: +47.0pp at 2d ago (to 55¢).
Show top 8 of 30 hourly moves
- 2d ago · +47.0pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · +47.0pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · +46.0pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · +46.0pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · +46.0pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · +46.0pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · +46.0pp → 55¢
- 3d ago · +41.5pp → 55¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Liga Regional Norte (LRN) 2026 Split 1. If the 2026 Split 1 is postponed after July 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingLinkTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.