SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 27, 2026

Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Probability

87¢

+0.5pp

24h

+6.0pp

24h Vol

$5.49

Liquidity

$1.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+8.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:16

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors

1
Up 6pp over 24h
Now 87¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1499h with open resolution ambiguity.
3
Wide spread — 10.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 1498.7h
LOW
13:16Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1499h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
12:00Price
Probability down -5.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 86¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
15:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 87¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 3.0pp
to 85¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 86¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.0pp
to 89¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 8.0pp
to 88¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 8.0pp
to 88¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.5pp
to 85¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.5pp
to 85¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.5pp
to 85¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 7.5pp
to 86¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 7.5pp
to 86¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same event2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick

Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jun 27, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket