Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Probability
28¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+21.5pp
24h Vol
$71.89
Liquidity
$196.55
Probability (last 7 days)
+23.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 22pp over 24h
Now 28¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4594h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 45.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4594.2h
- 13:48SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4594h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:48PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 28¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 28¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 28¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 28¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 28¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 13¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 13¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 28¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 28¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the next team Giannis Antetokounmpo officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Giannis Antetokounmpo does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Milwaukee Bucks”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Milwaukee Bucks and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Nov 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (45.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).