0xe6bd5847c168a0d6b182ff5be7a24742a2560f6d
0xe6bd5847c168a0d6b182ff5be7a24742a2560f6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$51.98
Total PnL
$14.11
Realised
$16.06
Win rate
27%
84 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
5 shares @ 2.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$5.00
$4.87
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?
6 shares @ 46.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$4.60
$1.70
- YES
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
4 shares @ 1.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.01
$3.94
- YES
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?
5 shares @ 3.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$3.81
$3.65
- YES
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
5 shares @ 4.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.67
$3.49
- YES
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Draw
7 shares @ 47.0¢·now 49.9¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$3.49
$0.20
- YES
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Sri Lanka Winner
7 shares @ 47.0¢·now 49.6¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$3.47
$0.18
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4 shares @ 3.0¢·now 79.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.19
$3.07
- YES
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter Sri Lanka Winner
5 shares @ 47.5¢·now 49.5¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$2.48
$0.10
- YES
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter Afghanistan Winner
5 shares @ 47.5¢·now 49.5¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$2.48
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Juan Carlos Pinzón place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mauricio Cárdenas place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Manuel Galán place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Luna Sánchez place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NRG win NACL 2026 Spring?$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GIANTX win LEC 2026 Spring?$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natus Vincere win LEC 2026 Spring?$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?$0.01May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.38May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LOUD win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?$0.16May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maryville University win NACL 2026 Spring?$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dorado Gaming win NACL 2026 Spring?$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CCG Esports win NACL 2026 Spring?$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Winthrop University win NACL 2026 Spring?$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Citadel Gaming win NACL 2026 Spring?$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angelo Bonelli, be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$0.01May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlo Calenda be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$0.01May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matteo Renzi be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$0.01May 9, 22:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $0.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 22:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 84 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.