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BusinessExpires Apr 29, 2026

Will Google say "Dividend" during earnings call?

Probability

88¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$224.93

Probability (last 7 days)

+21.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:50
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 82h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 82.2h

    LOW
  • 13:50Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 82h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.5pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 29.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 32.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 30.5pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Google (Alphabet) currently scheduled to take place on April 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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