Shameless-Ideal
0x0262c1d06bb33ac08f00bede1856269d162ea9d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
157
Open notional
$15.8K
Total PnL
$1.3K
Realised
$3.7K
Win rate
78%
67 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 157- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
12148 shares @ 33.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.3K
$4.2K
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
800 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$770.00
$-0.40
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
607 shares @ 91.2¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$554.02
$0.30
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
600 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$543.00
$-3.00
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
400 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$338.01
$-2.00
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
400 shares @ 78.1¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$314.00
$1.69
- NO
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?
312 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$303.37
$0.29
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 57.1¢·now 57.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$285.25
$-0.25
- NO
Will Solana reach $100 in July?
268 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$267.83
$2.34
- NO
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?
270 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$249.75
$4.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?$4.60Jul 29, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$154.56Jul 29, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by July 31?$10.93Jul 29, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?$4.08Jul 29, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?$2.49Jul 29, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?$10.31Jul 29, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?$10.11Jul 29, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$42.50Jul 29, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$18.00Jul 29, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$10.63Jul 29, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$12.24Jul 29, 01:02 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.06Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$85.00Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?$81.00Jul 29, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?$81.90Jul 29, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?$74.24Jul 29, 00:08 UTC
- REWARD$16.21Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?$88.00Jul 28, 22:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
73/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 67 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
67 closed markets, 78% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $55.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 67 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.