Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?
Probability
30¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$293.28
Liquidity
$7.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2309h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $7.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2309.1h
- 18:54SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 2309h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 30¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
4Market Description
Drake's new album "ICEMAN" is expected to release in 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of weeks in a row "ICEMAN" holds the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart. If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the relevant album does not hold the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the first week that would record its release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jul 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- to the number of weeks in a row "ICEMAN" holds the NoAmbiguous wordingextracted · lowbillboard.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.