Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 467h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $11.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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Drake's new album "ICEMAN" is expected to release in 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake's next officially released album debuts at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 albums chart for its first charted week following release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve as soon as Billboard publishes the first chart week in which the album appears. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).