Bumpy-Selection
0xfe10071be0477fe971adba32ae322d25bd1da6c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$17.77
Total PnL
$-2.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.49
$1.49
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.06
$1.06
- YES
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.58
$-0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party for the People win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$1.00Jan 29, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?$1.00Jan 29, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 29, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$1.00Dec 25, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$1.00Dec 25, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.00Dec 25, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$1.00Dec 25, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 25, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Dec 25, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?$1.00Dec 25, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Dec 25, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$1.00Dec 25, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$1.00Dec 25, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 25, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$1.00Dec 25, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Dec 25, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Nov 6, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in August?$0.00Oct 16, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in August?$2.04Oct 16, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Sep 9, 09:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 08:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.