Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Probability
20¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$196.84
Liquidity
$18.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 564.1h
- 11:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 564h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 20¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 20¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 20¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 20¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 20¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 20¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 20¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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