OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Mar 22, 2026

Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Probability

6¢

-0.4pp

24h

-2.7pp

24h Vol

$2.9K

Liquidity

$22.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.1pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 07:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:36

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

01:36Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
LOW
01:36Price
Probability down -3.9pp
to 6¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -3.8pp
to 6¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability down -3.1pp
to 6¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability down -5.9pp
to 6¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -3.7pp
to 6¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -3.4pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
15:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 8¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 11¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 9¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -6.1pp
to 8¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability down -5.8pp
to 9¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -7.2pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -5.5pp
to 9¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -8.3pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -8.3pp
to 8¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -8.9pp
to 5¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -7.8pp
to 6¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventNext Prime Minister of Slovenia

Category · Other

Market Description

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Mar 22, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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