Will Julian Alvarez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$4.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $4.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
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Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 816.7h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Goals scored in La Liga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., Copa del Rey, Spanish Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryofficial statisticsTypeOfficial statisticsConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
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