Will King Charles say "250" or "250th" during the joint meeting of Congress?
Probability
91¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+3.0pp
24h Vol
$17.74
Liquidity
$713.51
Probability (last 7 days)
+26.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 62.8h
- 09:14SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 63h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:14PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 91¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 87¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 78¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 78¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 85¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
King Charles is scheduled to participate in a joint meeting of Congress on April 28, 2026. (https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/04/01/king-charles-joint-meeting-congress/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the joint meeting of Congress scheduled for April 28, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about King Charles's remarks at the joint meeting of Congress scheduled for April 28, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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