PoliticsExpires Apr 28, 2026

Will King Charles say "Colony" during the joint meeting of Congress?

Probability

21¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

+4.0pp

24h Vol

$9.34

Liquidity

$199.48

Probability (last 7 days)

-4.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:59
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 4pp over 24h

    Now 21¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 53h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 7.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 53h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 53 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 53.0h

    HIGH
  • 19:00Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 53h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+4.0pp over the last 24h, now 21¢.

Biggest hourly move: -13.0pp at 08:00 (to 15¢).

Show all 24 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 11:00 · -5.0pp → 15¢
  • 09:00 · -9.0pp → 15¢
  • 08:00 · -13.0pp → 15¢
  • 06:00 · -13.0pp → 16¢
  • 05:00 · -12.0pp → 16¢
  • 03:00 · -12.5pp → 16¢
  • 02:00 · -13.0pp → 16¢
  • 00:00 · -12.5pp → 16¢
  • 23:00 · -12.5pp → 16¢
  • 21:00 · -5.5pp → 16¢
  • 20:00 · -5.5pp → 17¢
  • 1d ago · -5.5pp → 17¢
  • 1d ago · -5.5pp → 17¢
  • 1d ago · -5.0pp → 18¢
  • 1d ago · -5.5pp → 17¢
  • 1d ago · -5.5pp → 17¢
  • 2d ago · +12.5pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · +8.0pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · +4.5pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · -5.5pp → 19¢
  • 2d ago · -7.5pp → 17¢
  • 2d ago · -6.5pp → 18¢
  • 2d ago · -6.5pp → 19¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWhat will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?
Category · Politics

Market Description

King Charles is scheduled to participate in a joint meeting of Congress on April 28, 2026. (https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/04/01/king-charles-joint-meeting-congress/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the joint meeting of Congress scheduled for April 28, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about King Charles's remarks at the joint meeting of Congress scheduled for April 28, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
washingtonpost.comSource not classifiedextracted · low
washingtonpost.com
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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