Will King Charles's remarks not air?
Probability
10¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-6.0pp
24h Vol
$110.00
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-10.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 11¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 14¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 13¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 15¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 16¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 14¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 16¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 15¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 16¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 15¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 14¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 13¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 17¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
King Charles is scheduled to participate in a joint meeting of Congress on April 28, 2026. (https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/04/01/king-charles-joint-meeting-congress/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the joint meeting of Congress scheduled for April 28, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about King Charles's remarks at the joint meeting of Congress scheduled for April 28, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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