Will Larry Ellison buy the Seattle Seahawks?
Probability
36¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$56.35
Probability (last 7 days)
-26.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 36¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3294h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 68.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3293.9h
- 18:05SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 3294h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 35¢.
Biggest hourly move: -33.5pp at 4d ago (to 31¢).
Show all 56 hour-by-hour ticks
- 11:00 · -6.0pp → 33¢
- 09:00 · -4.5pp → 35¢
- 07:00 · -3.0pp → 37¢
- 04:00 · +6.0pp → 39¢
- 02:00 · +5.5pp → 37¢
- 01:00 · +6.5pp → 40¢
- 21:00 · +6.0pp → 40¢
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 34¢
- 1d ago · -26.0pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · -22.0pp → 37¢
- 1d ago · -18.0pp → 38¢
- 1d ago · -21.5pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · -25.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -27.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -33.0pp → 34¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · -29.0pp → 34¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · -25.5pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -26.0pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -19.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · -22.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -26.0pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · -26.5pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · -27.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -19.5pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · -20.5pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -20.0pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -24.5pp → 37¢
- 3d ago · -15.0pp → 37¢
- 3d ago · -23.0pp → 37¢
- 3d ago · -22.0pp → 39¢
- 3d ago · -25.5pp → 36¢
- 3d ago · -20.0pp → 37¢
- 3d ago · -18.0pp → 39¢
- 3d ago · -23.5pp → 38¢
- 3d ago · -28.5pp → 39¢
- 3d ago · -30.0pp → 37¢
- 3d ago · -25.0pp → 40¢
- 3d ago · -32.0pp → 32¢
- 3d ago · -23.5pp → 33¢
- 3d ago · -26.0pp → 40¢
- 3d ago · -33.0pp → 32¢
- 3d ago · -23.0pp → 37¢
- 3d ago · -25.0pp → 35¢
- 3d ago · -27.5pp → 40¢
- 3d ago · -31.0pp → 33¢
- 3d ago · -31.0pp → 34¢
- 4d ago · -22.5pp → 37¢
- 4d ago · -27.5pp → 36¢
- 4d ago · -33.5pp → 31¢
- 4d ago · -28.0pp → 35¢
- 4d ago · -4.5pp → 59¢
- 4d ago · -3.5pp → 59¢
- 4d ago · -7.0pp → 56¢
- 4d ago · -5.0pp → 57¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the named individual who is publicly announced as having agreed to purchase the Seattle Seahawks by September 9, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET (the beginning of the 2026 NFL regular season). If no sale is announced before this time, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, an announcement must confirm that the Paul G. Allen estate (also known as Vulcan LLC) has reached a binding agreement to sell a majority interest in the team. Minority sales will not be considered. If a sale is announced to an individual that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If two or more listed individuals are announced as joint owners or part of the same ownership group, this market will resolve to the individual announced as the controlling owner. If two or more listed individuals are announced as the controlling owners, this market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the completion (closing) of the sale is not required. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the National Football League or the Seattle Seahawks. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (68.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.