Will Laurence Louie win Top Chef Season 23?
Probability
11¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-0.6pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2307h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 14.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2306.9h
- 21:07SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 2307h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.7pp over the last 24h, now 11¢.
Biggest hourly move: -8.7pp at 2d ago (to 11¢).
Show all 18 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · -3.8pp → 11¢
- 1d ago · -4.7pp → 11¢
- 1d ago · -3.3pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -3.3pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -7.9pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -6.3pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -3.9pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -6.0pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -7.2pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -4.9pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -4.2pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -5.7pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -7.6pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -6.3pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -8.7pp → 11¢
- 3d ago · -7.9pp → 11¢
- 3d ago · -4.2pp → 12¢
- 3d ago · -5.3pp → 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Top Chef Season 23. If Top Chef Season 23 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Top Chef Season 23 has otherwise not concluded by July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Top Chef Season 23.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jul 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
Not stated explicitly in the metadata. Read the full market rules below before treating any move as a resolved fact.
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (14.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.