0x75f5c2c8e32e28f3b2d2e64a399989fb76ccbc74
0x75f5c2c8e32e28f3b2d2e64a399989fb76ccbc74
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$89.91
Total PnL
$-5.91
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
12 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$12.00
$2.52
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.08
$0.76
- NO
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 83.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.07
$0.82
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.06
$1.11
- NO
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$5.06
$1.11
- NO
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.06
$1.06
- NO
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.06
$0.96
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.70
- NO
Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$5.00
$0.75
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$0.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 22, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$4.55Mar 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.00Mar 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$3.95Mar 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$3.60Mar 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$4.30Mar 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.30Mar 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?$4.25Mar 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.20Mar 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$4.20Mar 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$4.10Mar 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.20Mar 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$3.95Mar 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$4.25Mar 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$4.15Mar 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$4.84Mar 21, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?$4.18Mar 21, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.46Mar 21, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.31Mar 21, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.69Mar 21, 21:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 00:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.