Will Lecce be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?
Probability
38¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-5.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$66.28
Probability (last 7 days)
-21.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 781.1h
- 10:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 781h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:54PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 39¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 49¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 41¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 41¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 42¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 53¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 53¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 52¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 52¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 53¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 53¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 43¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Serie A after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by Serie A following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (51.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).