SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 31, 2026

Will Lecce place 17th for the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Probability

64¢

1h

-7.5pp

24h

-3.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$63.66

Probability (last 7 days)

+5.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 23:27
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 64¢; -7.5pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 841h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Wide spread — 63.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 840.5h

    LOW
  • 23:27Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 841h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 64¢.

Biggest hourly move: +24.0pp at 20:00 (to 71¢).

Show top 8 of 28 hourly moves
  • 23:27 · +17.0pp → 64¢
  • 22:00 · +18.5pp → 65¢
  • 21:00 · +17.0pp → 64¢
  • 20:00 · +24.0pp → 71¢
  • 19:00 · +16.5pp → 63¢
  • 17:00 · +16.5pp → 63¢
  • 14:00 · +18.0pp → 65¢
  • 08:00 · +18.5pp → 66¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventSerie A: 17th Place (Relegation Survivor)
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 17th in the 2025-26 Serie A. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2025-26 Serie A (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 17th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (63.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

7 wallets
Open on Polymarket