Will LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Probability
50¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+7.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$526.03
Probability (last 7 days)
+8.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 7pp over 24h
Now 50¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 43.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1568.8h
- 15:10SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 50¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 49¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 68¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 47¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 48¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 46¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 48¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 49¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 47¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 49¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 53¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 45¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 53¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 60¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (43.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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