Will Lens place 2nd for the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
Probability
98¢
1h
+0.2pp
24h
+7.2pp
24h Vol
$112.35
Liquidity
$101.77
Probability (last 7 days)
+13.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 876.1h
- 11:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 876h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.4pp
to 98¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.1pp
to 98¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 97¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.6pp
to 97¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 98¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 98¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 97¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 98¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.8pp
to 97¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 97¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 91¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 91¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 91¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025-2026 Ligue 1 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by Ligue 1 as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-2026 Ligue 1 season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).