Will Lerone Murphy fight Alexander Volkanovski next?
Probability
22¢
1h
-0.3pp
24h
+9.0pp
24h Vol
$2.33
Liquidity
$308.62
Probability (last 7 days)
+7.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 9pp over 24h
Now 22¢; -0.3pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6009h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 42.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6008.7h
- 15:20SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6009h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 22¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 22¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 9¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.1pp
to 9¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.1pp
to 9¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.1pp
to 9¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.2pp
to 9¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.4pp
to 9¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.9pp
to 9¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.9pp
to 9¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 10¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.4pp
to 9¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.2pp
to 9¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.4pp
to 11¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.1pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.9pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.8pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.6pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.1pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.6pp
to 9¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 15¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.8pp
to 22¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Alexander Volkanovski is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Alexander Volkanovski is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Volkanovski is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (42.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).