Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-39.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 39pp over 24h
Now 5¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 847h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 9.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 847.3h
- 16:43SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 847h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:43PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -42.9pp
to 5¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 40¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 45¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 45¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 45¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 45¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 45¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 45¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 45¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 45¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 45¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 45¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 45¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 45¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 45¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 45¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.5pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.6pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.6pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.6pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.6pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.6pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.6pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.6pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.6pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.5pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.6pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.6pp
to 48¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the NBA Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the 2026 NBA Finals (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Finals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- nba.comOfficial sports resultextracted · highnba.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (9.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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