SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 24, 2026
Creator

Will LOUD win VCT 2026: Americas League Stage 1?

Probability

26¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$817.72

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 24, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
liquipedia.net
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (49.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+21.5pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 05:00May 1, 2026, 04:28
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

  • 02
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 49.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 547.5h

    LOW
  • 04:28Signal

    Resolution risk

    Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 26¢.

Biggest hourly move: +45.5pp at 3d ago (to 50¢).

Show top 8 of 43 hourly moves
  • 01:00 · -24.0pp → 26¢
  • 00:00 · +21.5pp → 26¢
  • 22:00 · +21.5pp → 26¢
  • 20:00 · +21.5pp → 26¢
  • 18:00 · +21.5pp → 26¢
  • 17:00 · +21.5pp → 26¢
  • 15:00 · +21.5pp → 26¢
  • 3d ago · +45.5pp → 50¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventVCT 2026: Americas League Stage 1 Winner
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the VCT 2026: Americas League Stage 1 tournament, currently scheduled for April 10th - May 24th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed, canceled, or a winner has not been declared by June 7th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games. However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Americas_League/Stage_1) may also be used.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.

Open on Polymarket