Will Evil Geniuses win VCT 2026: Americas League Stage 1?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.2K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 24, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingLinkTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (4.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Spread cost
Wide spread — 4.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 24, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingLinkTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (4.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 548.5h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.
Biggest hourly move: -47.4pp at 01:00 (to 2¢).
Show top 8 of 27 hourly moves
- 03:00 · -22.6pp → 2¢
- 01:00 · -47.4pp → 2¢
- 2d ago · +21.9pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · +21.9pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · +21.9pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · +21.9pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · +21.9pp → 25¢
- 3d ago · +46.4pp → 50¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the VCT 2026: Americas League Stage 1 tournament, currently scheduled for April 10th - May 24th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed, canceled, or a winner has not been declared by June 7th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games. However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Americas_League/Stage_1) may also be used.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.