Will Luis Diaz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 779h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $3.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 779.0h
- 12:57SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 779h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Goals scored in Bundesliga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., DFB-Pokal, German Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).