Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?
Probability
60¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+4.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$532.60
Probability (last 7 days)
+25.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 60¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 826h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 8.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 826.2h
- 13:48SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 826h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.1pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.7pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 56¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Ligue 1 tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (8.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).