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OtherExpires May 1, 2026

Will Meta dip to $540 in April?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.3pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$618.34

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.9pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:31
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  1. 1

    Wide spread — 5.9¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 135.5h

    LOW
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -3.6pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.9pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.2pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.2pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.8pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.8pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.1pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (5.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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