Will Meta dip to $540 in April?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.3pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$618.34
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Wide spread — 5.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 135.5h
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 1¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).