Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 77000?
Probability
79¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+4.0pp
24h Vol
$1.5K
Liquidity
$1.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+44.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 79¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 79¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 79¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 79¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 80¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 81¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 73¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 75¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 77¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 75¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 75¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 74¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 71¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 37.0pp
to 79¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 74¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.5pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 68¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 59¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Meta’s headcount for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Meta’s official company earnings materials. including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and webcast transcripts/recordings. Note: if the specified company reports multiple variations of the specified metric for the relevant quarter, the first version of the metric found in the following hierarchy of earnings materials will be used. 1) Earnings Press Release 2) Earnings Investor Presentation 3) Regulatory Filings 4) Transcripts or recordings of Earnings webcast.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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